If I told you that last year’s TE1 in fantasy football went into this year without his team’s best receiver from a year ago, you’d probably be interested.
You might think, in 2022, that applies to Travis Kelce after the Kansas City Chiefs parted ways with Tyreek Hill. You’d be right – if Kelce was last year’s TE1.
No, you can get last year’s best tight end for a late second-round pick this season. His name (I mean, you already know that by now. It’s in the title, and there’s a picture of him at the top of the page) is Mark Andrews.
Andrews finished 30.8 PPR half points clear of Kelce to finish as the top scorer at the position last season, and no other tight end has surpassed even 170.0 half-PPR fantasy points.
Baltimore Ravens traded top Marquise Brown during the NFL Draft and went through the draft…no more receivers. They managed to land two tight ends in the fourth round, but that won’t have much of an impact on Andrews.
No, we get a tight end to lead his team to receive with competition, really, only from Rashod Bateman to compete for the first market share in Baltimore.
It’s partly for this reason that Andrews is once again establishing himself as a can’t-miss tight end option in 2022.
Mark Andrews 2021 season review
Last season, Andrews had 107 catches on 153 targets for 1,361 yards and 9 touchdowns. This happened while playing four games without starting quarterback Lamar Jackson.
Here are his spreads in games with and without Jackson in 2021.
Oh, what is it? It was worse with Jackson. Alright, of course. By ‘worse’ we mean he would still have finished as a TE2 per game with ‘only’ a target share of 23.7%.
In games without Jackson, Andrews drew 66.7% of the team’s end zone targets. In games with Jackson, he was at 42.9% (with Brown at 28.6%). Removing Brown from the overall equation allows Andrews to build on an elite season that wasn’t just buoyed by touchdowns.
His 1,361-yard outing in 2021 was the third-best of any close season since 2012.
Can we ignore her breakups with Lamar Jackson?
Even with Jackson playing NFL average in efficiency in 2021, Andrews posted per-game numbers that would have made him TE2 (as already mentioned). Jackson, since 2019, has averaged 0.22 NEP hits per return and a 48.6% hit rate.
The NFL averages in this division were 0.11 and 47.4 percent, respectively.
Excluding the monstrous 2019 campaign, Jackson is still above average at 0.14 and 47.9 percent over the past two seasons.
Over the past three years, Jackson has had an outstanding season (2019), an average season (2021), and an above-average season (2020). There’s plenty to be excited about Andrews’ prospects in 2022 if Jackson remains healthy.
And as long as Andrews and the Ravens aren’t a last-eight passing offense, his chances of being great remain high.
Mark Andrews’ fantasy football projection for 2022
numberFire’s fantasy football projections see Andrews as the TE2 in fantasy formats, the same as his average draft position in FanDuel. best fantasy soccer ball sizes.
He’s projected for 144 targets, 93 catches, 1,155 yards and 8.8 touchdowns.
So, no, Andrews is a far cry from the consensus first pick, and Travis Kelce is also entitled to the top spot, but the gap these two have to the rest of the position is considerable.
Make sure you have Andrews in the same level as Kelce – because with his efficiency and volume, he’ll be one of the top performers again while Jackson aims to see an increase in passing efficiency.