A new week starts off with a smaller-than-usual roster, with 8 MLB games and 1 NHL playoff game headlining. For an up-to-date breakdown of Monday’s betting action, be sure to log into the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I will also be joining The Lombardi Line with Patrick Meagher and Michael Lombardi at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update.
In the meantime, let’s discuss where the money goes for several MLB games tonight.
8:05 p.m. ET: Cleveland Indians (39-30) vs. Chicago Cubs (40-32)
The Indians are looking to bounce back after losing two of the three to the Humble Pirates. Likewise, the Cubs have just lost two of three to the Marlins and are only 2-5 in their last 7 games. In tonight’s series opener, the Indians give the ball to right-hander Aaron Civale (10-2, 3.48 ERA) and the Cubs start right-hander Adbert Alzolay (4-5, 4.06 ERA) . That line opened with Chicago listed as a -145 home favorite and Cleveland a +130 road dog. The public are saying to give me the Cubs all day as a moderate home favorite. However, Chicago fell slightly from -145 to -140. This indicates a wise move picking up Cleveland at more money (+130 to +125). The Tribe are 24-16 against the Righties while the Cubs are just 27-26 against the Righties. Interleague teams with line moves in their favor are 78-54 (59%) this season.
8:10 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (35-35) vs. Minnesota Twins (30-41)
These interleague adversaries have been moving in opposite directions lately. The Reds have lost four games in a row and have just been swept away by the Padres. Meanwhile, the Twins have won four in a row and swept the Rangers. In tonight’s series opener, the Reds send right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-2, 3.39 ERA) and counter Twins with veteran left-hander JA Happ (3-3, 6.12 ERA) . That line opened with Cincinnati listed as a -130 road favorite and Minnesota a +120 domestic dog. The public sees a layup with the Reds, who have a better record and a glaring pitching advantage on paper. However, despite these lopsided bets, we saw Cincinnati drop from -130 to -117. This signals a sharp reverse line move on the Twins (+ 120 to + 107). Home non-division teams receiving 10 Steam Cents or more are 135-74 (65%) this season. Interleague home teams with a line move in their favor are 50-30 (63%). We might consider a game with a higher score in this one. The total is 9.5 with a few pounds down to -115. They are two of the best teams in baseball, with the Reds 41-26-3 on top and the Twins 43-24-4. Forecasts are for the mid-1960s with winds of 5-10 MPH blowing towards the center-right.
10:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (44-27) vs. San Diego Padres (42-32)
These two rivals from NL West enter this crucial divisional series on a hot note. The Dodgers have just swept the Diamondback and are now 10-2 in their last 12 games. On the other hand, the Padres have just swept the Reds in a four-game streak. Game 1 of tonight’s series ends a stellar pitcher game between Dodgers left-hander Julio Urias (9-2, 3.54 ERA) and Padres ace Yu Darvish (6-2, 2.57 ERA). That line opened with San Diego ranked as a -125 home favorites and Los Angeles with a +115 road dog. The Sharps pounced on the scorching Dodgers getting more money, which brought down Los Angeles from +115 to +107. The Dodgers have value as a dog after a win and a road division dog with a line move in their favor. The total opened to a low of 6.5 and the most moved to -120, signaling low total finance debt distress. The Dodgers are 37-32-2 above. The Padres are 38-34-2 above. One big injury to watch out for here is San Diego star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. He’s questionable with a shoulder injury.
Updated odds to win NBA title at BetMGM
Bucks + 110 Suns + 170 Clippers + 700 Hawks + 1100
Remember to check VSiN betting shares daily for money and number of tickets so you know who the public is betting on.